Probability of collision of asteroid 2013 TV135 with Earth in 2032 year according to the results of observations in recent days has grown more than four times – from 1 chance in 63 thousand to 1 chance in 14 thousand, according to data published on the site of the asteroid NASA units. 
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However, the risk of a collision still remains very low – the probability that a 400-meter asteroid will safely warm up with Earth decreased by thousandths of a percent, from 99.998% to 99.992%.
An asteroid that received the 2013 TV135 index was discovered employee of the Crimean Observatory Gennady Borisov, the discoverer of the first “Ukrainian” comet C / 2013 N4 (Borisov). He discovered a celestial body through his own amateur telescope during observations in his spare time. Calculate orbit The asteroid was helped by Russian amateur astronomer Timur Kryachko. Then the discovery was confirmed by Russian observatories. “Ka-Dar” and the observatory network MASTER (GAISH MSU) in Buryatia, as well as astronomers from Italy, Britain and Spain.
Preliminary measurements of the trajectory showed that on August 26 2032 this asteroid with a probability of 1 chance for 63 thousand may collide with the Earth, new data slightly increased this risk.
Asteroid received the lowest 1st class on the Turin scale the dangers of asteroids. This means that there is practically no risk, however, it is nonzero. Among the famous asteroids are still one – 2007 VK184 – has a rank of 1 on a scale. Explosion power in case the fall of 2013 TV135 to Earth is estimated at 2.5 thousand megatons.
Astronomer Leonid Elenin from the Institute of Applied Mathematics Keldysh leads on his website the results of further modeling the fate of the asteroid.
“I more accurately recalculated the probability of an asteroid collision 2013 TV135 with our planet in 2032 … The result was score of 0.03% … Asteroid will be available for observation by small telescopes before the New Year, and of course during this period we will clarify our calculations. I’m betting that the probability will be 0.0%, “- Elenin writes.
NASA experts also expect that as new data collision risk will be reduced to zero. “It’s relatively fresh opening. With new observations, I am completely sure that we significantly reduce or completely eliminate the likelihood of a collision for the foreseeable future, “said Don Yeomans, Head of NASA’s asteroid division.
In January 2013, NASA experts completely ruled out the risk collisions with the asteroid Apophis Earth, which has long been the main symbol of asteroid danger.
NASA time
