MIT Economist (Massachusetts Institute of Technology; approx. mixednews.ru) Daron Adzhemoglu asked this question when he was waiting the birth of a son. His new work deals with political, social and economic trends of the last hundred years and then extrapolates them for the future.
Acemoglu brings to your attention the grim prospect of a growing inequalities and pollution, but also sees positive aspects, among which, for example, achievements in health care.
Worldwide pollution will increase
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Industrialization in China means the possibility of serious worsening CO2 emissions and climate change. The only way to slow this process down is massive transition to “clean” energy is a difficult and practical task unrealizable without reaching an agreement on internationally. Clean energy does not have at present sufficient market share for its successful development, and increased emissions can be devastating.
Islamic regimes will fall
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Young people in countries like Egypt, Syria and Saudi Arabia are all in more aware of the power over their lives that owned by their governments. Expectations of Political Change among nations will lead to a further increase in enthusiasm and response measures. When changes will come in the region, and women and minorities will fight for their rights, stop and the use of religion as a measure of social control.
Wars can go into oblivion
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Last 60 years the number of wars between countries and civil wars were on the decline, and in the next century this trend will be saved. As the educational process and activities continue international organizations to prevent wars, these conflicts in greatly weakened. Institutions like the UN make it easy dispute resolution between states and can prevent repetition of the cold war. According to Ajemoglu, our century has everything chances to become peaceful.
People will live longer and healthier.
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New technologies, drugs, and vaccines mean that the life expectancy of children of the future will be higher than their parents. Diseases will decline, making the global economy may experience a sharp rise. Progress will be advanced countries that will offer their services to overcoming difficulties to the states of Asia and Africa.
Robots will work
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Jobs in agriculture, industry and others areas in which physical labor is used as it develops technologies will gradually decline. These workers will be superseded computers and robots. Such a process could throw billions unskilled workers into poverty, or give them better workers places and increase their income.
The middle class will continue to die out
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The benefits of better technology will go to the rich. Between given that Chinese workers will demand an increase wages, the demand for cheap labor will increase. So thus, economic growth will be more uneven, and the gap between rich and poor is wider than ever.
The global economy will prosper
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China will continue to grow, new regions will begin to develop Asia and Africa, which can lead to improved quality of life. But we we can’t expect that all growth will be taken upon developing countries: regions with high levels of consumption, mainly the USA and Europe, should will deal with their economic problems.
We will have automated cars
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In much the same way as in the past century, in the next hundred years, light will see a great many technical innovations, the spectrum of which extends from automated cars to improved treatments. We are unlikely to run short fresh ideas, so the landscape around us will continue to undergo changes in the same striking manner as before.
Democracy will lose ground
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In the US, democracy is on the defensive. The gap between wealth and poverty increases, and participation in the political solutions require money. Meanwhile, people all over the world are extolling Chinese authoritarian model. The result may be that the revolution of individual rights will cease or lose all of its conquests.
Africa War Life China Robots USA Economy
