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Scientists at Australian National University published worst case scenario of coronavirus spread and presented possible consequences of the epidemic. The study is available on the site. educational institution.
According to experts, with catastrophic the development of the number of deaths due to pneumonia COVID-19, caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus will amount to 68 million people in within a year after an outbreak. In this case, the victims of coronavirus in China more than 12 million people will become, the USA and Russia will lose one by one million citizens, in European countries the number of victims will be hundreds thousand As a result of the pandemic, the global economy will shrink by 9.2 trillion dollars, and a number of countries will face a very serious recession, researchers concluded.
With the most favorable prognosis, when mortality from coronavirus will be at 2 percent, 15 will die in the world million people, scientists calculated. Largest human victims will be made by India and China – one million people each, in large European countries will perish 60-70 thousand citizens. The global GDP in this case will decrease by $ 2.3 trillion, a severe blow will come from the economies of Australia and Germany, which will go into a difficult phase of the crisis.
An assessment of mortality in a moderate scenario shows that 38 million people die from coronavirus, and the economy will suffer damage in the amount of 5.3 trillion dollars.
Coronavirus outbreak was first recorded in late December 2019 in Chinese Wuhan. As of March 6, 98.3 infected thousands of people. Of these, 3.3 thousand died, more than 55 thousand recovered. About 3.4 percent of deaths resulted in deaths. reported cases of coronavirus. Cases of infection recorded in 93 countries.
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China Economy
