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Russian scientists deny theses on global warming and predict the coming years of global cold snap. Head of the Gazprom VNIIGAZ Laboratory Vladimir Bashkin and Rauf Galiulin from the Institute of Fundamental Problems Biology RAS on the pages of the scientific journal “Gas Industry” reject the influence of anthropogenic factors on the global climate, reducing all to long-term cycles of solar activity. Last period warming when the average temperature on Earth rose by 0.7 degrees Celsius, observed since the start of industrial revolution – from the second half of the XVIII century. It is believed that global warming observed over the past 50 years, mainly due to anthropogenic impact, primarily with carbon dioxide emissions causing a greenhouse effect. However, the authors note, from the point of view of the theory of “cyclic climate change “this warming is a natural way out “small ice age” with the subsequent entry into a new cooling period. However, the authors of the article believe that the influence greenhouse gases are greatly overestimated, since with the mass of the Earth’s atmosphere at 18.375 billion tons and emissions of about 9 billion tons concentration greenhouse gas is only 0.00005%. At this concentration any global changes are unlikely, including climate change, consider V. Bashkin and R. Galiulin. Scientists say that the problem of global warming is stubbornly exaggerated in the West with marketing position: “Once the warming has come, it means need in traditional fuels – oil, coal and especially natural gas, in particular, supplied from Russia to the world market, should decrease, and therefore the estimated price for this energy resource should be lower than now. “Authors articles argue that “paleoclimatic studies, associated with the study of climate of past geological eras, allow doubt the validity of the requirements of the Kyoto Protocol, limiting greenhouse gas emissions, especially carbon dioxide gas, due to anthropogenic activities and allowing trade quotas for their emissions. The fact is that increasing carbon dioxide levels gas in the atmosphere was often not preceded, but followed warming, since with increasing temperature it enters the atmosphere carbon dioxide dissolved in the oceans (where it is 60 times more than in the air), as well as being in solid rocks. V. Bashkin and R. Galiulin predict that a process is now emerging global cooling, which is indirectly confirmed by the nature curve of the temperature anomaly reaching a plateau after 2000. “Small Ice Age” will begin in 2014. and reach his peak minimum temperatures by the middle of the century. Moreover, initially the temperature drop will be very slow, and after decades – more active. The impending cooling will undoubtedly affect increasing energy consumption both globally and regionally scale “, – Russian scientists are sure. Similar” small glacial period “the previous time the Earth saw in the XVII-XVIII century. According to authors of the publication, the cooling comes due to a sharp decline radiation power of the Sun as the only source of energy for Earth, and, therefore, the main factor in changing its climate. This is due to the fact that during a 200-year cycle the solar the constant changes by about 0.15% -0.25%, which is noticeable affects the oceans and, accordingly, affects the climate. “The relationship of solar activity cycles with large-scale climate change on the planet and the facts are established that when there is a deep minimum of solar activity, occurs cooling, “the article says.
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